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United States’ Crypto Vision
crypto-policy

United States’ Crypto Vision

Trump’s second term redefines US crypto policy with regulation, institutional shifts, and a strategic Bitcoin reserve shaping global financial leadership.

August 7, 2025
5 min read
OBSERVER RESEARCH FOUNDATION

Trump’s second term redefines US crypto policy with regulation, institutional shifts, and a strategic Bitcoin reserve shaping global financial leadership.

United States’ Crypto Vision: Trump’s Strategic Shift in Digital Asset Policy

Cryptocurrency has moved to the centre of US economic strategy, with the Trump administration embracing regulation and reserve-building to assert financial leadership in a changing global order. The Trump administration’s approach to cryptocurrency has evolved significantly between its first and second terms, reflecting a broader shift in the role of digital assets within American economic and geopolitical strategy. What was once a peripheral issue has increasingly become central to policy discourse in Washington. Cryptocurrency now appears to be positioned not only as a financial innovation but also as a potential instrument for reinforcing the global role of the US dollar. These developments suggest a growing entwinement of crypto policy with broader macroeconomic objectives. While certain regulatory and institutional measures have been initiated, several critical questions remain unresolved. Importantly, the trajectory of US crypto policy under President Donald Trump cannot be examined in isolation. Rather, it must be understood within the wider context of the administration’s evolving economic priorities, strategic motivations, and vision for restoring American financial leadership in a changing global order. As the United States moves to integrate crypto more deliberately into its economic architecture, other countries are racing to define their own strategic postures.

Legislative Framework: FIT21

Among the most notable legislative efforts under the Trump administration’s renewed crypto agenda is the introduction of a robust regulatory bill designed to bring clarity to the digital asset ecosystem. The Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21) represents a landmark legislative initiative aimed at establishing a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets in the United States. At its core, the bill seeks to delineate the respective roles and responsibilities of federal regulatory bodies, primarily the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), in overseeing the rapidly evolving cryptocurrency sector. As a result, FIT21 is increasingly positioned to serve as the foundational framework for digital asset regulation in the United States. Its emphasis on regulatory clarity, market integrity, and innovation signals a shift in Washington's attitude toward crypto from scepticism to structured engagement.

Institutional Shift

The evolving relationship between traditional banking and the cryptocurrency sector has entered a new phase, driven by regulatory shifts and growing institutional interest. A major catalyst was the repeal of Staff Accounting Bulletin (SAB) 121 in January 2025. Previously, this SEC rule required banks to treat customer-held crypto assets as liabilities on their balance sheets, thereby discouraging banks from offering custodial services due to the regulatory and capital burdens it imposed. With its repeal, banks now have a clearer pathway to enter the crypto custody space without disproportionately affecting their financial reporting. This regulatory shift was accompanied by a significant leadership transition at the SEC, wherein former Chair Gary Gensler was succeeded by Paul S. Atkins, a proponent of more permissive regulatory approaches. Under Atkins’s leadership, the SEC is anticipated to re-evaluate the applicability of the Howey Test, the longstanding legal framework used to determine whether a financial instrument qualifies as a security under US law. A potential narrowing of this definition would reduce the number of crypto assets falling within the SEC’s regulatory purview, thereby facilitating greater latitude for banks and financial technology firms to develop and offer a broader array of cryptocurrency-related products and services. Major financial institutions have begun to signal a strategic shift toward the integration of digital assets within their service portfolios. Citigroup has announced its potential entry into the crypto custody space, while JPMorgan has also permitted cryptocurrency purchases. These developments underscore a measured yet increasing institutional confidence in the viability and strategic relevance of digital assets within the conventional banking sector. No longer situated at the periphery of financial innovation, cryptocurrencies are progressively reshaping core banking functions, including asset custody, payment systems, and regulatory compliance frameworks. As regulatory clarity continues to advance, traditional banking entities are well-positioned to assume a central role in the next phase of the evolving crypto-financial ecosystem.

The Bitcoin Reserve

The United States has emerged as the most prominent sovereign holder of Bitcoin, largely through the accumulation of assets seized in high-profile criminal investigations, including operations targeting the Silk Road marketplace, dark web illicit trade, and ransomware networks. As of early 2025, the US government holds approximately 200,000 BTC. However, recent policy developments indicate a shift in the federal government's approach from passive custodianship to strategic asset management. The United States has emerged as the most prominent sovereign holder of Bitcoin, largely through the accumulation of assets seized in high-profile criminal investigations, including operations targeting the Silk Road marketplace, dark web illicit trade, and ransomware networks. In March 2025, President Donald Trump signed an executive order establishing a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, thereby centralizing all confiscated Bitcoin holdings under a unified federal framework. This marked a departure from previous practices under which seized digital assets were routinely liquidated through public auctions and reflects an evolving geopolitical calculus. Rather than viewing Bitcoin solely as a forfeited financial instrument, the new policy frames it as a strategic digital asset with implications for monetary sovereignty, economic security, and foreign policy. This repositioning suggests that state actors are beginning to incorporate digital assets into broader macroeconomic and geopolitical strategies, signalling the emergence of Bitcoin as a non-traditional reserve asset in a multipolar financial order.

Global Crypto Race

As the United States moves to integrate crypto more deliberately into its economic architecture, other countries are racing to define their own strategic postures. El Salvador and the Central African Republic have already adopted Bitcoin as legal tender, albeit with mixed success. Meanwhile, China continues to expand its central bank digital currency, the e-CNY, which now facilitates cross-border transactions in pilot programs involving multiple countries. Russia and Iran have turned to crypto to bypass sanctions, exploring stablecoins and Bitcoin-based settlements for international trade. The European Union is pursuing a Digital Euro with a cautious but firm regulatory orientation. The Middle East is witnessing increased activity, too, with the UAE positioning itself as a crypto-friendly hub, attracting talent and capital. The emergence of Bitcoin and other digital assets as instruments of state strategy is reshaping the financial architecture of the global order. Whether through adoption, regulation, or competition, nations are no longer viewing crypto merely as speculative technology but as a pillar of future economic influence. For the US, the challenge is twofold: to lead in innovation while safeguarding systemic stability. The US’s evolving crypto vision from deregulation to reserve strategy may offer one blueprint, but it is by no means the only path forward. The global crypto race is underway, and its winners will likely shape the contours of 21st-century power.
Sauradeep Bag is an Associate Fellow at the Observer Research Foundation.
Source: Originally published at Observer Research Foundation on August 7, 2025.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Legislative Framework & Regulation

Q: What is the FIT21 Act and what is its purpose? A: The Financial Innovation and Technology for the 21st Century Act (FIT21) is a landmark legislative initiative in the United States aimed at establishing a comprehensive regulatory framework for digital assets. Its primary purpose is to clarify the roles and responsibilities of federal regulatory bodies, such as the CFTC and SEC, in overseeing the cryptocurrency sector. Q: How does FIT21 aim to clarify regulatory roles? A: FIT21 seeks to define the boundaries of oversight between the CFTC and SEC for digital assets. This aims to provide clearer guidelines for market participants, fostering innovation while maintaining market integrity.

Institutional Adoption & Banking

Q: What was the impact of the repeal of SEC's Staff Accounting Bulletin (SAB) 121? A: The repeal of SAB 121 in January 2025 removed a significant barrier for banks. Previously, SAB 121 required banks to treat customer-held crypto assets as liabilities, discouraging them from offering custodial services due to regulatory and capital burdens. Its repeal provides a clearer path for banks to engage in crypto custody. Q: How are major financial institutions like Citigroup and JPMorgan adapting to digital assets? A: Institutions like Citigroup are considering entering the crypto custody space, while JPMorgan has begun permitting cryptocurrency purchases. These moves indicate a growing institutional confidence and a strategic integration of digital assets into their service portfolios. Q: How might the Howey Test be re-evaluated under a new SEC leadership? A: With a new SEC leadership, there is anticipation that the applicability of the Howey Test, used to determine if a financial instrument is a security, may be re-evaluated. A potential narrowing of this definition could reduce the number of crypto assets regulated by the SEC, allowing for broader development and offering of crypto-related products and services.

Bitcoin Reserve & Government Strategy

Q: How did the US government become a significant holder of Bitcoin? A: The US government holds a substantial amount of Bitcoin primarily through assets seized in criminal investigations, including those targeting illicit online marketplaces and ransomware networks. Q: What is the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve established by President Trump? A: The Strategic Bitcoin Reserve is an executive order that centralizes all confiscated Bitcoin holdings under a unified federal framework. This policy signifies a shift from passive custodianship to strategic asset management, viewing Bitcoin as a strategic digital asset with implications for economic security and foreign policy. Q: How does the US government's approach to seized Bitcoin differ now? A: Previously, seized digital assets were often liquidated through public auctions. The new policy frames these assets as strategic digital resources, indicating a move towards managing them as non-traditional reserve assets rather than simply liquidating them.

Global Crypto Landscape

Q: How do other countries compare to the US in their crypto strategies? A: While the US is developing its regulatory and reserve strategies, other countries are actively defining their own postures. Some, like El Salvador and the Central African Republic, have adopted Bitcoin as legal tender, while others like China are expanding their central bank digital currencies (e-CNY). Nations like Russia and Iran are exploring crypto to bypass sanctions, and the EU is pursuing a Digital Euro. The UAE is positioning itself as a crypto-friendly hub. Q: What is the overall trend in how nations are viewing cryptocurrencies? A: Nations are increasingly viewing cryptocurrencies not just as speculative technology, but as a crucial pillar for future economic influence, considering their potential roles in adoption, regulation, and international trade.

Crypto Market AI's Take

The Trump administration's evolving stance on cryptocurrency, particularly with initiatives like the FIT21 Act and the establishment of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, marks a significant development in US digital asset policy. This strategic embrace of regulation and asset accumulation reflects a broader understanding of cryptocurrency's potential impact on financial leadership and economic security. From our perspective at Crypto Market AI, this indicates a maturation of the market, where governments are moving from skepticism to active engagement, recognizing digital assets not just as a speculative phenomenon but as instruments of state strategy. This aligns with our mission to provide advanced AI-driven market intelligence and trading solutions, enabling users to navigate this increasingly complex and strategically important financial landscape. The proactive regulatory approach, coupled with institutional adoption by major banks, suggests a more stable and predictable future for digital assets, potentially unlocking new opportunities for growth and innovation in the sector.

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