August 9, 2025
5 min read
Luc Jose Adjinacou
Peter Brandt Sees A Key Moment Ahead For Bitcoin
The next weeks could decide the market’s future, as Bitcoin trades above $117,000. Legendary trader Peter Brandt warns that the crypto queen approaches a pivotal moment, possibly a temporary peak. With over ten years of post-halving cycle analysis, he cautions against a scenario that could surprise even seasoned investors. This alert comes as some experts doubt the relevance of Bitcoin’s historical cycle.In brief
- Peter Brandt believes that Bitcoin could reach a temporary peak within the next six weeks.
- Bitcoin’s price has oscillated between $112,000 and $123,000 in recent weeks, with a return above $117,000.
- Brandt’s analysis is based on historical observation of post-halving cycles and their peak points.
- Some analysts, including Matt Hougan, believe that the four-year cycle might be disappearing.
- August 2: a drop to $112,000, the lowest recent level;
- Mid-July: price holding within a range around $117,000;
- July 14: a record of $123,000, the last historic peak;
- A current return to $117,656, an increase of 0.89% over 24 hours and 3.6% over the week. For Brandt, this time window could correspond to the last bullish phase before a significant pullback. His warning is based on a history of cycles where halving plays a pivotal role, often preceding a price acceleration followed by a pronounced correction.
- Bitcoin Price Analysis: What Drives the Prices of Cryptocurrency?
- Understanding Bitcoin Cycles: A Deep Dive into Market Trends
- The Impact of Halving Events on Bitcoin's Price
A peak within the next six weeks?
While there has been a massive outflow of capital from Bitcoin in favor of Ethereum, Peter Brandt, a respected trading figure, stated on the social network X that “according to how I perceive the Bitcoin cycles, from low to high with halving marking the midpoint (+/- one to two weeks), a tradable peak could occur within the next six weeks.”According to how I view the cycles in Bitcoin (low to high with halving marking the mid point (+/- one to two weeks) a tradable top could occur within the next six or so weeks
— Peter Brandt (@PeterLBrandt) August 8, 2025This prediction fits into a context where Bitcoin has experienced significant movements in recent weeks:
Towards the end of the classic Bitcoin cycle?
Beyond the deadline set by Brandt, another debate stirs the community: the survival of the historical four-year cycle. This model, widely accepted until now, predicted a strong post-halving increase, followed by a peak, then a 70 to 80% correction, leading to a long period of significant crypto price decline. However, several recent signals suggest that this mechanism might weaken or even disappear. Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise, specifies that “the four-year cycle could be over, but for this to be official, Bitcoin must perform well in 2026.” He attributes this possible break to the rise of Bitcoin ETFs, the changing profile of investors, and a more favorable regulatory environment. If these factors change the market structure, the historical link between halving and price phases could lose its relevance, making predictions based on this pattern more uncertain. The next six weeks will therefore be both a test for Peter Brandt’s forecast and for the robustness of the cyclical model that has guided many investment strategies. If the Bitcoin price reaches a peak within the announced window, supporters of the traditional cycle will see confirmation. Otherwise, the market could well enter an era where other forces—institutional, regulatory, or macroeconomic—take precedence over historical benchmarks.Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Bitcoin Cycles and Market Peaks
Q: What is Peter Brandt's prediction for Bitcoin's price in the next six weeks? A: Peter Brandt predicts that Bitcoin could reach a "tradable peak" within the next six weeks, based on his analysis of historical Bitcoin cycles relative to halving events. Q: What is the significance of Bitcoin's halving in these cycle predictions? A: Brandt's analysis suggests that halving events mark the midpoint of Bitcoin's cycles, with a potential tradable peak occurring around six weeks after. Q: Is the traditional four-year Bitcoin cycle becoming obsolete? A: Some analysts, like Matt Hougan of Bitwise, suggest the four-year cycle might be weakening or disappearing due to factors like Bitcoin ETFs, evolving investor profiles, and a more favorable regulatory environment. He believes Bitcoin's performance in 2026 will be key to confirming this. Q: What are the recent price movements of Bitcoin that inform these predictions? A: Bitcoin recently dropped to $112,000, has been trading around $117,000, and reached a prior peak of $123,000 in July. It has recently returned to trade above $117,000. Q: What could cause the four-year Bitcoin cycle to become less relevant? A: The increasing influence of Bitcoin ETFs, a shift in investor demographics towards institutional players, and a more supportive regulatory landscape could alter market dynamics and reduce the reliance on historical cyclical patterns.Crypto Market AI's Take
The debate surrounding Bitcoin's cyclical nature, as highlighted by Peter Brandt's predictions and contrasting views from analysts like Matt Hougan, underscores the dynamic evolution of the cryptocurrency market. At Crypto Market AI, we leverage advanced AI and machine learning to navigate these complexities. Our platform provides sophisticated market analysis tools and AI-powered trading bots designed to identify potential turning points and capitalize on market shifts, irrespective of traditional cyclical models. For those seeking to understand the forces driving cryptocurrency prices or looking for intelligent trading strategies, exploring our AI-driven market analysis and automated trading bots can offer valuable insights.More to Read:
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